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12th IEEE International Symposium on Modeling, Analysis, and Simulation of Computer and Telecommunications Systems (MASCOTS'04)   pp. 588-595
Storage Device Performance Prediction with CART Models

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DOI Bookmark: http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MASCOT.2004.1348316
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Abstract
Storage device performance prediction is a key element of self-managed storage systems. This work explores the application of a machine learning tool, CART models, to storage device modeling. Our approach predicts a device’s performance as a function of input workloads, requiring no knowledge of the device internals. We propose two uses of CART models: one that predicts per-request response times (and then derives aggregate values) and one that predicts aggregate values directly from workload characteristics. After being trained on the device in question, both provide accurate black-box models across a range of test traces from real environments. Experiments show that these models predict the average and 90th percentile response time with a relative error as low as 19%, when the training workloads are similar to the testing workloads, and interpolate well across different workloads.
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Citation:  Mengzhi Wang, Kinman Au, Anastassia Ailamaki, Anthony Brockwell, Christos Faloutsos, Gregory R. Ganger, "Storage Device Performance Prediction with CART Models," mascots, pp. 588-595,  12th IEEE International Symposium on Modeling, Analysis, and Simulation of Computer and Telecommunications Systems (MASCOTS'04),  2004

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